Investment Insights

The Longevity Economy: Investment Thesis for the $6.3T Wellness Market

Taya Bessmertnaya

Taya Bessmertnaya

Founder & CEO

January 20, 202614 min readAbu Dhabi, AE

The Macro Trend: Aging + Wealth + Prevention

Three converging forces are creating the largest healthcare market opportunity in history:

  1. Global aging — 1.4 billion people 60+ by 2030 (WHO)
  2. Wealth concentration — $84 trillion held by HNW individuals globally
  3. Prevention shift — Post-pandemic awareness: chronic disease prevention > reactive treatment

Result: $6.3 trillion global wellness economy (Global Wellness Institute, 2025)

Market Segmentation

Wellness Real Estate: $275B (→ $1.2T by 2030)

  • WELL-certified buildings, wellness communities, longevity resorts

Wellness Tourism: $720B

  • Medical tourism, wellness retreats, spa hospitality

Preventive & Personalized Health: $575B

  • Longevity centres, biohacking centres, functional medicine

Wellness Tech: $280B

  • Wearables, AI health apps, telemedicine, continuous monitoring

Mental Wellness: $180B

  • Meditation apps, therapy platforms, psychedelic medicine

Why Now? The Convergence

1. Technology Enablement

  • Wearables (Oura, Whoop, CGM) → real-time biomarker tracking
  • AI/ML → personalized longevity protocols
  • Telemedicine → accessible expert care

2. Scientific Breakthroughs

  • Senolytics clear "zombie cells"
  • NAD+ precursors restore cellular energy
  • Epigenetic age reversal (Yamanaka factors)
  • GLP-1 agonists (Ozempic) → metabolic health democratization

3. Regulatory Tailwinds

  • FDA aging as indication (TAME trial)
  • ADGM alternative investment framework
  • EU preventive health mandates

Investment Opportunity: Longevity Group Capital

Thesis:

Vertically integrated wellness ecosystem capturing value across real estate + operations + technology.

Business Units:

  1. Wellness Centres (Real estate + operations)

- CAPEX: $5M–$15M per centre

- Revenue: Memberships + treatments + retail

- EBITDA: 25–35%

- Exit: Sale to hospitality groups (Aman, Six Senses) or REIT

  1. Booking Platform (SaaS)

- Booking and management platform for wellness centres

- Revenue: 8-12% commission + SaaS subscriptions

- Currently in development, MVP launch Q4 2026

  1. AI Application (Consumer subscription)

- Freemium → Premium ($99/month)

- AI longevity coach, wearable integration

- 5,000+ active users, 30% MoM growth

  1. Consulting (B2B services)

- Launch strategy, SOPs, tech implementation for wellness centres

- 15+ clients across Europe, Middle East, and Asia

- High-margin consulting fees

  1. Training Academy (Education)

- Staff training, practitioner certification, operations management

- Online + in-person programs (in launch preparation)

- 500+ graduates

Unit Economics (Wellness Centre):

  • CAPEX: $5M–$15M (3,000-10,000 sqm centre)
  • Annual Revenue: $4M (400 members × $500/month avg + treatments)
  • EBITDA: $1.2M (30% margin)
  • Valuation multiple: 8-12x EBITDA
  • Exit value: $10M–$15M (100%–150% return on invested capital)
  • Hold period: 7 years
  • IRR target: 20–30%

Portfolio Construction:

  • 7 centres operational across Europe, Middle East, and Asia
  • Target: 20+ centres by 2030 across strategic wellness markets
  • Total AUM: $50M (current) → $300M (2030 target)

Competitive Landscape

Ultra-luxury tier (Aman, Six Senses, Clinique La Prairie)

  • Positioning: $2,000–$5,000/night
  • Target: Ultra-HNW (top 0.1%)
  • Scale: Exclusive, limited locations

Accessible luxury tier (LGC Centres)

  • Positioning: $200–$500/night, $199–$999/month memberships
  • Target: Affluent professionals (top 5–10%)
  • Scale: Scalable, franchise model

Mainstream wellness (Equinox, LifeTime)

  • Positioning: $100–$300/month
  • Target: Mass affluent
  • Scale: Large metro areas only

Why Europe, Middle East, and Asia?

Geographic arbitrage = premium services at 40-60% lower cost than Western markets

  • Europe: Mediterranean wellness tourism, EU regulatory framework, established luxury hospitality infrastructure
  • Middle East: ADGM fund domicile, MENA wellness hub $12B+ market, UHNW demographic concentration
  • Asia: Ancient wellness traditions (Ayurveda, TCM), tech innovation hubs, rapidly growing affluent health-conscious population

Risk Factors

  1. Regulatory risk — Healthcare regulation varies by country
  2. Market education — Longevity medicine still niche
  3. Competition — Low barriers to entry for wellness centres
  4. Real estate risk — Property value fluctuations

Mitigation:

  • ADGM regulatory compliance
  • Strong brand differentiation (medical-grade protocols)
  • SPV structure per asset (risk isolation)
  • Operating income + real estate appreciation dual revenue

Conclusion

The longevity economy is not a trend — it's a multi-decade structural shift. Longevity Group Capital is positioned to capture value across real estate, operations, technology, and education, with a clear path to $300M AUM by 2030.

Investment opportunity: Qualified investors can access Fund I (closing Q2 2026) with $250K minimum commitment.

longevity economywellness investmentventure capitalreal estatemarket analysisADGM

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